Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.069592 0.077045 0.085219 0.094894 0.106092 0.118717 0.134127
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.058397 0.068495 0.080478 0.095934 0.115620 0.140246 0.174023
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.050276 0.061583 0.075835 0.095516 0.122650 0.159795 0.216486
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.045005 0.057104 0.073131 0.096586 0.131260 0.182820 0.270042
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.041031 0.053603 0.070969 0.097687 0.139710 0.207146 0.333170
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.037812 0.050633 0.068985 0.098485 0.147539 0.232034 0.406010
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.034949 0.047781 0.066716 0.098327 0.153553 0.255049 0.484327
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.032295 0.044926 0.064045 0.097018 0.157168 0.274347 0.563110
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.030723 0.043521 0.063421 0.098950 0.166894 0.308208 0.693821
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.028672 0.041171 0.061006 0.097374 0.169537 0.327720 0.797899
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.027333 0.039822 0.060079 0.098313 0.177338 0.361216 0.966078
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025862 0.038132 0.058399 0.097593 0.181482 0.387161 1.129641
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.024823 0.037095 0.057781 0.098914 0.190593 0.429819 1.399699
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023847 0.036089 0.057125 0.100079 0.199669 0.476261 1.744098
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022738 0.034771 0.055784 0.099663 0.204899 0.513674 2.100088
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021934 0.033921 0.055222 0.100808 0.214333 0.569014 2.661188
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021199 0.033137 0.054707 0.101979 0.224146 0.630861 3.415909
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020483 0.032335 0.054086 0.102826 0.233317 0.695672 4.399042
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019709 0.031378 0.053080 0.102659 0.239599 0.752968 5.540680
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018865 0.030241 0.051629 0.101273 0.241989 0.795466 6.722050
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018432 0.029837 0.051610 0.103320 0.255532 0.898891 9.520124
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017666 0.028765 0.050152 0.101651 0.256805 0.943059 11.668749
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017201 0.028234 0.049770 0.102645 0.267278 1.045136 16.559768